Economic Forecast for Bulgaria 2025: Stability with Opportunities GTAI Report on the Country's Current Economic Outlook
Germany Trade & Invest (GTAI) forecasts a moderate yet stable economic growth of 2.2% for Bulgaria in 2025. The main drivers of this growth remain private consumption—bolstered by rising real wages—and EU-funded investments, particularly in the construction and infrastructure sectors.
While external demand is recovering gradually, tourism, the IT sector, and mechanical engineering stand out as particularly dynamic industries. Bulgaria’s accession to the Schengen Area and the eurozone, along with progress on key energy projects, further strengthen the country’s long-term potential.
Germany remains Bulgaria’s most important trading partner, accounting for 15.3% of Bulgarian exports. Inflation is expected to decline to 2.8% in 2025, further enhancing purchasing power.
Source: German-Bulgarian Chamber of Industry and Commerce