In a new report released on October 7, the World Bank has increased its forecast for Bulgaria’s GDP growth in 2025 by a percentage point compared with its previous report in June 2025.
The World Bank’s Europe and Central Asia Economic Updated Outlook for autumn 2025 shows it projecting Bulgaria’s GDP growth this year as three per cent, up by a percentage point compared with its projection in June.
For 2026, the Bank sees Bulgaria’s GDP growth at 2.9 per cent and for 2027 at 3.1 per cent, in both cases up by 0.7 percentage points compared with the projection in the June 2025 report.
The Bank’s autumn report said that economic growth in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) has slowed but the region has remained resilient amid continued global and regional challenges.
Regional gross domestic product is likely to grow by 2.4 percent in real terms this year, down from 3.7 percent in 2024, because of a weaker pace of expansion in the Russian Federation.
Private consumption remains the main driver of growth in ECA, although its pace is moderating as real wage gains ease and job creation slows, the report said.